While the world absorbs the news of the US invading Venezuela, Canada may be concerned that Trump has activated an Emperor/King scenario.

One person’s opinion with the conspiracy cap on, so take it with salt.

Some observers have pointed out that the invasion itself was an attempt of Trump’s to distract from very serious allegations of paedophilia carried out during his relationship with Epstein. And, while I certainly do agree that there is a meaningful motive to explore, I suggest that multiple layers of motives still need to be explored.

Looking further back, the US January 6 insurrection was essentially a play taken straight from history via Hitler’s Beer Hall Putsch. Trump’s overtures to white surpremacists is not new, and neither are Musk’s overtures by way of literal Nazi salutes. But, in so doing, they’ve activated extremists around the world, including Canadian groups.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/white-supremacist-conference-vancouver-9.6970604

Now, the Americans have invaded Venezuela, but this too has precedent. From the War of Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021, the public has learned that strong signals from US military strategists, professionals, diplomats, and other government officials, warned that the US was not going to achieve its objectives in the region. They were aware of this situation from the outset of the conflict, despite the public US position that progress was being made on a near daily basis.

Of course, the world saw the truth for itself as Biden notoriously concluded US operations in the region, only to essentially hand off all equipment and government functions back to the Taliban. But, what also happened was the rise of the Private Military Corporations (which I want to highlight), and the Military Industrial Complex. The American people were basically handing their money over to private mercenaries who were efficient at extracting this money.

Back to Venezuela, President Trump has claimed that American companies can start making money from their oil fields within 18 months. I’d suggest that the same play is active. Trump doesn’t need the oil fields to be at full capacity, he just needs the money they can generate to fund another round of PMCs. At the moment, some parts of the US GOV will quibble about who will pay for this latest invasion. If the US military will not be engaged with the long term security of the area, then surely the task will fall to PMCs.

This time, January 6 won’t be the Putsch with a bunch of clout chasing amateurs. Trump is likely building up a war chest to hold power beyond a second term. Venezuela is just a down payment.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4grxzxjjd8o

But, to be clear, Trump has signalled to the world that the free trade rules based order for trade is done. He’s sanctioned the ICC, attacking long standing Rule of Law principles, and finally he’s committing acts of war potentially to position himself as a dictator.

Trump’s camp has already extracted more money from working class Americans, handing it over to billionaire friends. Such friends will not want to personally fund a coup, risking treason. But PMCs have less scruples, and even less loyalty. If they survive, they can spend the rest of their lives elsewhere with their ill-gotten wealth.

Canada should start a program of Disaster Preparedness that includes courses in the many uses of sugar, and how to convince friends and enemies alike of what to do.

Birnam forest is literally moving to Dunsinane.

  • 7rokhym@lemmy.ca
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    5 days ago

    The exit from Afghanistan was ‘planned’ under Trump administration 1. There of course was no plan, so it was a disaster, but Biden inherited it and gets blamed for it.

    Trump admin #1 completely fucked up with Venezuela, allowing both China and Russia to get a foothold in the country and ignored it. Anyone familiar with the Monroe Doctrine which is a core part of US foreign policy for hundreds of years would see this ineptitude. It’s not about agreeing with the doctrine. It’s just how the US is and he has no clue what he was doing.

    So many mistakes from his first term are coming back to haunt him as long term consequences (8 to 12 years) are usually a different president, but not this time. It is interesting watching him blame Biden and Obama for his own decisions and gets away with it.

  • skozzii@lemmy.ca
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    6 days ago

    Americans are so god damn stupid.

    But let’s hope the quote “You can always count on the Americans to do the right thing, after they have exhausted all the other possibilities. - Winston Churchill” is applicable still.

  • Darkcoffee@sh.itjust.works
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    6 days ago

    Don’t forget there’s nothing he wouldn’t do to distract from the Epstein files.

    That wasn’t meant to calm you down btw.

  • DragonAce@lemmy.world
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    5 days ago

    From what I’ve heard, the 18 month thing is an absolute impossibility. Most oil companies would take 5 to 10 years to get their infrastructure back up and running in the region. Also It seems as none of the oil companies are interested in this at all.

    • Idbuythatforadollar@lemmy.ca
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      5 days ago

      As long as the oil can be exported, internal refining and manufacturing doesn’t matter, the brown gold can be moved to the US Gulf of Mexico refineries designed for heavy crude. The oil fields of Venezuela will likely be a new target for international warfare. I feel so bad for the people of that area of the world.

      • Sturgist@lemmy.ca
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        5 days ago

        the brown gold can be moved to the US Gulf of Mexico America refineries

        /S fuck that shit, been the gulf of Mexico for ages

    • Bakkoda@lemmy.world
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      5 days ago

      Because the oil companies know who they are in bed with. Trump makes promises, wants them to pay for it but they know it’s a con. They might make a profit but it will come with a huge cost. All depends on if it’s worth it for them knowing full well Trump will change his mind any second.

      • Bassman1805@lemmy.world
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        5 days ago

        And like, even if Trump had a come-to-Jesus moment and had no intention of reneging on his promises here: there’s no way to ensure that Venezuela won’t re-narionalize their natural resources again in 5, 10, 15 years when the oil companies have invested all that money and are just starting to see some revenue back from it.

        • Bakkoda@lemmy.world
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          5 days ago

          Well the oil industry is already basically running on subsidies while just cranking out profits so i expect this to be more American economics: Socialize the costs, privatize the profits.

          • Bassman1805@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            Even then, there’s an extremely real chance that there will never be any profits to privatize.

            If the USA agreed to pay every dime of expense to renovate Venezuelan oil fields for ExxonMobil, that’s still 10-30 years of putting employees on a project that might go nowhere, instead of working on something more likely to have an ROI. Even if money is subsidized, time remains limited.

  • TheObviousSolution@lemmy.ca
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    5 days ago

    Trump is the saddest excuse for a dictator in history, which says a lot of how low a lot of their oligarchy is willing to go for mere short term profits.