• Scotty@scribe.disroot.org
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    7 days ago

    Which are China’s allies? Literally all trade partners have increasing deficits, economic and political coercion is widespread, transnational repression has been increasing, China’s interference in domestic affairs and election is strong not only in Canada but everywhere. And that’s just a tiny selection of bad examples.

    Just name one country that ever benefited from a ‘tight relationship’ with China in the long term?

    Which non-Chinese company had ever long-term success in the Chinese domestic market?

    Having said that, the choice is not just between the US and China. Canada must diversify its trade away from both the US and China.

    • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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      6 days ago

      China’s interference in domestic affairs and election is strong not only in Canada but everywhere

      CIA talking point. Only CIA is allowed to determine elections.

      Just name one country that ever benefited from a ‘tight relationship’ with China in the long term?

      The ones where the US hasn’t invaded or created a puppet government in yet? All the US colonies are doing poorly in growth terms. Those trading freely with China are booming.

    • AGM@lemmy.ca
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      7 days ago

      Which non-Chinese company ever had long-term success in the Chinese domestic market?

      Companies: Volkswagen, GM, Tesla, Toyota, Honda, BMW, Mercedes, Hyundai, Apple, Samsung, Microsoft, Intel, Foxconn, Siemens, SAP, IBM, Sony, Panasonic, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, P&G, Unilever, Nestle, L’Oreal, Nike, Adidas, Walmart, Costco, IKEA, KFC, Starbucks, McDonald’s, Haagen-Dazs, Budweiser, Shell, Exxon, Caterpillar, 3M, HSBC, J.P. Morgan, Goldman, Sequoia, McKinsey, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, J&J, Roche…

      That list could go on for ages. These are just big ones, and there are whole sectors not even touched on.

      Just name one country that ever benefited from a ‘tight relationship’ with China in the long term?

      Okay.

      Countries: ​Vietnam, Pakistan, Brazil, Australia, Russia, Indonesia, Cambodia, Laos, Ethiopia, Chile, Germany, Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Singapore, Kazakhstan, Argentina, Nigeria, South Africa, Peru, Chile, Angola, Greece, Hungary, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran, Oman, Qatar, Algeria, Morocco, Ecuador, Bolivia, Sudan… and so on.

      Seriously, why do you think so many companies have the China market as an essential component of their business, and have done for decades? And, why do you think most countries have China as their number one trading partner? They wouldn’t if they weren’t benefiting, but somehow you have either convinced yourself that you know better than all of them or you’re just posting entirely in bad faith.

      • Scotty@scribe.disroot.org
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        7 days ago

        Can you tell me how even one of them benefits?

        These are just random lists of companies and countries. Literally all the countries, for example, have been showing increased trade deficits with China, while many trade their commodities and raw materials for high-end goods. Especially in Asia and Africa, they are prone to political and economic coercion (e.g., the Hambantota International Port in Sri Lanka, the country’s second largest port, is owned now by China, which is one reason why Sri Lanka’s government lacks de-facto economic independence).

        Workers’ rights violations are widespread in literally all these countries, aggression against its neighbours on land and at sea. Just to name a few examples.

        The ‘bad faith’ posting comes from you. This list is a very bad joke.

        • AGM@lemmy.ca
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          7 days ago

          Random companies? These are all companies that have been doing huge business in China for years. Some have been there for 30 years or more and have China as a huge part of what makes them successful.

          Go read some financial statements yourself. Go read some trade and investment data from countries.

          You just posted one of the most absurdly ignorant statements possible about business and economic engagement with China in claiming that nobody has seen long-term benefits, and now you’re doubling down? It’s completely detached from reality.

          If not for your posting history I would give you the benefit of the doubt that you’re just an uninformed and misinformed person, but people don’t set up sock puppets for good faith activity.

          • Scotty@scribe.disroot.org
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            7 days ago

            The numbers clearly say that there are no long-term benefits from trade and/or economic ties with China, except for China itself.

            • AGM@lemmy.ca
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              7 days ago

              I encourage anyone to go do the research for themselves. No need to trust me. They will easily find for themselves how wrong and manipulative the positions you’re pushing are. You are here actively misleading people.

              • Scotty@scribe.disroot.org
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                6 days ago

                What is your research? You’re posting a series of bold claims paired with second-hand intimidation, but no clear, verifiable information.

                • AGM@lemmy.ca
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                  6 days ago

                  There’s nothing bold about any claims I’m making for anyone that knows much at all about these topics.

                  Want a single example of a foreign business with long-term benefits in China? Take KFC. They’ve been in China since the 80s, have 2× as many restaurants in China as they do in the US, and almost double the revenue. Not long-term benefit? Sure seems like it to me.

                  Want an example of a country? Take Indonesia. $140B of annual bilateral trade. High-value infrastructure development. Development of their critical minerals industry and their green tech industry, including large projects like hydropower. Investment and building of industrial capacities such as smelting to do value-adding work domestically. All things that contribute to Indonesia’s improved competitiveness in the global economy, and helping them maintain an overall surplus in their global trade.

                  So, Indonesia is exporting raw materials and increasingly some value-added products from those, and this is what supports a trade surplus overall, and they’re importing low-cost consumer goods from China that allow better quality of life for people while also importing things like machinery to improve industrialization.

                  Doesn’t sound bad.

                  Anyone who knows much about these topics would know the bold claims are your absurd suggestions that no companies or countries have long-term benefits with China.

                  • Scotty@scribe.disroot.org
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                    6 days ago

                    Take Indonesia. $140B of annual bilateral trade.

                    Indonesia suffers a one-way economic dependence from China. Indonesia has a structural trade deficit with China. It also mainly exports commodities (such as oils, mineral fuels, nickel) while high-end products are imported from China (such as machinery, electronic equipment), making it largely impossible for Indonesia to develop its own industry.

                    As one study states:

                    Significant Chinese investments in Indonesia’s critical minerals and renewable energy sectors have created path dependency, as much of the technological know-how Indonesia sought to acquire for its economic transformation is 75% controlled by Chinese companies. Since these projects rely on Chinese raw materials or midstream processing, this keeps Jakarta’s critical minerals industrial ecosystem tied to Beijing’s technological and financial orbit. Recent developments – including South Korea’s LG Energy Solution withdrawal and the likelihood of its replacement by a Chinese company – indicate that competitive pressure on Chinese firms remains limited and may even be narrowing. Still, this would not change the underlying dependence of Indonesia’s downstream industries on Chinese technology, capital, and supply chains. -[Emphasis mine.]

                    This economic dependency will, among others, limit Indonesia political sovereignty. For example, Indonesia will unlikely follow the Philippines’ transparency against China regarding Beijing’s aggression in the South China Sea.

                    One report - among many others - on that reads (here is an archived link):

                    … The Philippines’ transparency initiative is crucial for addressing and countering disinformation and misinformation, as well as exposing China’s unlawful activities in the South China Sea. Even though Indonesia often faces similar threats from China in the North Natuna Sea, it is less likely to implement such a transparency initiative … Transparency initiatives may not always be a policy choice for other Southeast Asian countries, such as Indonesia … Therefore, while a ‘transparency initiative’ could put pressure on China to comply with international law and avoid reckless behaviour in the South China Sea, Indonesia is less likely to implement such a policy …

                    There is much more information about Indonesian-Chinese relationship, and literally all of them point in a similar direction. With Indonesia becoming increasingly dependent on China, Beijing exploits this relationship to achieve not just commercial goals and political coercion, very mich as it does with all of its other ‘partner’ countries.

                    You are right in that Indonesia is importing low-cost consumer goods from China, but this doesn’t not “allow better quality of life for people” as you claim. Your statement is wrong. Already in 2024, Indonesia has introduced measures to limit sales of cheap imports on e-commerce platforms such as Shopee, Lazada and TikTok Shop that are hurting local firms.

                    This is just a TINY summary of why your claim of Indonesia benefiting from its relationship with China is outright false.

    • RaskolnikovsAxe@lemmy.ca
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      7 days ago

      I agree that we need to diversify our trade and our economy, in particular economic output.

      But China is the world’s next superpower. We should establish a strong relationship with them. Trade with them. And if needed - and it seems like it might be soon - ally with them militarily against the US.

      Edit - you say

      Literally all trade partners have increasing deficits, economic and political coercion is widespread, transnational repression has been increasing, China’s interference in domestic affairs and election is strong

      And I can’t believe you don’t see that this is exactly what is happening to us with the US, but they also want to destroy us economically and potentially attack us militarily.